Home / Investing / A "high-level exercise" conducted 3 months ago showed that a coronavirus pandemic could kill 65 million people – Investment Watch

A "high-level exercise" conducted 3 months ago showed that a coronavirus pandemic could kill 65 million people – Investment Watch

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by Michael Snyder

Just over three months ago, a "high-level pandemic exercise" entitled "Event 201" was held in New York City. On October 18, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, together with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, brought together "15 business, government and public health leaders" to simulate a scenario in which there was a coronavirus pandemic. devastating the planet. The current outbreak of coronavirus that originated in China did not begin until December, so at that time it was supposedly just a hypothetical exercise. The following comes from the official page of this event


The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Safety in association with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation organized Event 201, a high-level pandemic exercise on October 18, 2019 in New York, NY. The exercise illustrates the areas in which public / private partnerships will be necessary during the response to a severe pandemic to reduce large-scale economic and social consequences.

I find it quite interesting that the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation was involved, because they are also financial sponsors of the institute that was awarded. a US patent for "an attenuated coronavirus" in November 2018.

It seems that the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has been quite interested in the threat of coronaviruses for quite some time.

Eric Toner, a researcher at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Safety, spearheaded the creation of "Event 201". On his stage, an outbreak of coronavirus had begun in the pig farms of Brazil

The toner simulation imagined a fictional virus called CAPS. The analysis, part of a collaboration with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, analyzed what would happen if a pandemic originated in the pig farms in Brazil.

Although the outbreak was quite limited at the beginning, Toner's scenario finally showed that a coronavirus pandemic could kill 65 million people

The simulation outbreak began small: farmers began presenting symptoms that resembled the flu or pneumonia. From there, the virus spread to crowded and impoverished urban neighborhoods in South America.

Flights were canceled and travel reservations decreased by 45%. People spread false information on social networks.

After six months, the virus had spread throughout the world. A year later, he had killed 65 million people.

Hopefully this current outbreak does not become that kind of nightmare.

According to Reuters, there are now more than 800 confirmed cases, and the death toll soared to 25 …

China confirmed 830 cases of patients infected with the new coronavirus as of January 23, while the number of deaths from the virus rose to 25, the National Health Commission said Friday.

But many are skeptical that the official figures are accurate. Because the images that come out of Wuhan they are extremely alarming

Disturbing images of Wuhan residents who fall without responding to the floor have appeared on Instagram after the coronavirus blockade of the sick Chinese city.

Wuhan has been called a "zombie land" by frantic locals after Chinese authorities told residents that they are not allowed to leave yesterday morning.

The images of the interior of the city paint an apocalyptic image while doctors patrol in costumes of hazardous materials and gas masks.

During the last 48 hours, numerous videos have been posted on social networks that supposedly show violently ill people who have literally collapsed in the streets of Wuhan. Here it is just an example.

And in another video, hundreds of Chinese citizens with masks huddle in the corridors of a hospital in Wuhan while waiting to see a doctor.

This is something about which I wrote yesterday, and although I documented my statements, I don't think many people believed me.

In fact, when I told my wife what was happening in the hospitals, not even she believed me at first.

But this is really happening, and a video of a Wuhan hospital even shows a patient who collapsed on the floor while waiting to see a doctor …

If people literally fall where they stand, that would seem to indicate that we are not being told the whole truth about this virus.

The Chinese authorities are trying to keep everyone calm, but they are definitely treating this as if it were not a common outbreak. For example, a passenger of an airline suspected of having the virus was "He left an airport in a quarantine box"

Images have appeared showing an airline passenger with an alleged SARS-like coronavirus that leaves an airport in a quarantine box.

The man inside the box is wearing a protective suit, a mask and gloves after he reportedly showed possible symptoms, including fever, during the exam and was isolated from other travelers.

The box is surrounded by personnel in blue masks while being taken to an ambulance waiting outside a terminal at the Fuzhou airport in southeast China.

The whole world was surprised when it was announced that the entire city of Wuhan would face a quarantine, but now seven other Chinese cities are also being blocked.

Also, big cities across China they are canceling the holidays for the next Lunar New Year holidays …

Major Chinese cities, including Beijing and Wuhan, blocked by quarantine, banned all major gatherings during the upcoming Lunar New Year festival, the most important holiday on the Chinese calendar, in a growing effort to contain a spreading coronavirus outbreak. quickly.

Thursday's announcement came when authorities extended travel restrictions imposed on Wuhan to neighboring municipalities, closed travel networks and tried to quarantine some 25 million people, more than the population of Florida.

We have never seen anything like this before in all of China's modern history.

Would Chinese officials really take such dramatic measures if the threat were not real?

Of course, here in the United States, the CDC assures us that we have nothing to worry about

"We don't want the American public to be worried about this because their risk is low," says Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. "On the other hand, we are taking this very seriously and we are dealing very closely with the Chinese authorities."

Hopefully they are right, and hopefully this outbreak spreads sooner rather than later.

But a virologist who played a key role in the identification of SARS in 2003 insists that what we have seen so far it's just the beginning

"A bigger outbreak is safe," said Guan Yi, a virologist who helped identify severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003. He calculated, "conservatively," he said, that this outbreak could be 10 times greater than the epidemic of SARS because that virus was transmitted by only a few "super propagators" in a more defined part of the country.

"We have gone through the" golden period "for prevention and control," he told Caixin magazine from the self-imposed quarantine after visiting Wuhan. "In addition, we have the influx of traffic on holidays and the breach of duty by certain officials."

And if that wasn't enough to cause a chill in the spine, just take a look what else did he have to say

"I've seen it all: bird flu, SARS, influenza A, swine fever and the rest. But Wuhan's pneumonia makes me feel extremely helpless," he told Caixin. "Most of the past epidemics were controllable, but this time I'm petrified. "

The next two weeks will be an absolutely critical moment.

If the authorities can prevent the number of cases from increasing at an exponential rate, and if they can keep it limited to a few areas of China, we can have the opportunity to prevent a global pandemic.

But if not, we can face the worst case.

And according to "Event 201", the worst case scenario could mean tens of millions of people killed.




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